I'm keeping an eye on next thursday.

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le noun
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Re: I'm keeping an eye on next thursday.

Post by le noun » Sat Nov 26, 2011 10:50 pm

I don't think he is referring to Thursday. Lol
I know I wasn't.
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Re: I'm keeping an eye on next thursday.

Post by Aloha » Sat Nov 26, 2011 11:31 pm

Kiting out by the bridge is generally sketchball at Crissy unless you launched from OB or Baker Beach and are on your way back out the gate to get back to your car

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Re: I'm keeping an eye on next thursday.

Post by le noun » Sat Nov 26, 2011 11:39 pm

Just wait for a really strong ebb. Then kite toward the channel, put the kite down in the water, and wait for the current to do all the work. :mrgreen:
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Re: I'm keeping an eye on next thursday.

Post by WindMuch » Sun Nov 27, 2011 12:53 am

Yep, Robert is right. Ikitesurf. It's under "model tables".
You can look like a week in advance.
OK, thanks. I found the 'Model Tables'. Are you looking at them day-by-day or are you able to see some week-long forecast table? And what region are you looking at to get the screen shot you posted?

Go to the head of the class if you're dedicated/addicted enough to:
1. Look at the model tables day by day in pure hopes of wind and...
2. Post the screen shot here for the rest of us 'forecast slackers'!

Kirk out

(thanks!)

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Re: I'm keeping an eye on next thursday.

Post by le noun » Sun Nov 27, 2011 10:33 am

Day by day. 8)

And I'm just looking at san Francisco region.
Last edited by le noun on Sun Nov 27, 2011 11:31 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: I'm keeping an eye on next thursday.

Post by sloughslut » Sun Nov 27, 2011 10:41 am

I dont think (just my opinion) those models are any good :(
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Re: I'm keeping an eye on next thursday.

Post by le noun » Sun Nov 27, 2011 11:37 am

sloughslut wrote:I dont think (just my opinion) those models are any good :(
Well, they predicted what happened at half moon bay last Wednesday 4 days in advance.
But I agree, since they are computer generated and not reviewed by meteorologists, they are to take with a grain of salt.
But they can give you a clue as far as what the tendency COULD BE for the week.
Nothing replace the experience and looking at the wind report on site the day you wanna ride.
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Re: I'm keeping an eye on next thursday.

Post by ramsey » Sun Nov 27, 2011 11:45 am

looks like this one may be for real:

STRONG AND GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP
ON WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE
AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FEET IN THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA. WIND
SPEEDS WILL LIKELY BE HIGHEST ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHEN GUSTS TO 50
MPH OR HIGHER ARE POSSIBLE. STRONG WINDS COULD TOPPLE TREES AND
LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES.

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Re: I'm keeping an eye on next thursday.

Post by le noun » Sun Nov 27, 2011 11:45 am

Btw, how is 3rd ave on a kona wind?
I take it that it would blow on shore, but on shore is better than off shore.
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Re: I'm keeping an eye on next thursday.

Post by Aloha » Sun Nov 27, 2011 11:59 am

Lol noun I love that you embrace my terminology but here I think it's technically called a "Diablo wind". It is an off-shore flow coming from the inland valleys. We experienced it yesterday and looks like we're still getting some today

Check it out:

http://sfports.wr.usgs.gov/wind/streaklines.shtml

It is a reverse to the summer thermal so I affectionately dub it the "Kona Wind" or reverse of our traditional summer "Trade Wind" :]

It's more about flow from delta out through gate than it is about north bay to south bay. If you use the link above current streakline should give you an idea of what I'm talking about. There is a double venturi happening first through the Berkeley Hills & North bay pass to the delta, then 2nd through the Gate. It creates a strong on-shore flow to Crissy that is caught in b/w

In the summer 3rd works so consistently because the San Bruno pass (that gap just below San Francisco) venturis and dumps strong NW directly onto 3rd. When the system is working in reverse 3rd is at the big end of that funnel, not the small one so I wouldn't think gets the same mojo as summer

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