First Day of may brings wind

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First Day of may brings wind

Postby zgur » Mon May 01, 2006 8:49 am

If you want to kite today, be at one of the following places:
1. Crissy
2. Coast (which also has building swells)

Wed - go to the delta.

Get some, Z.
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Postby dewey » Mon May 01, 2006 9:20 am

Cool I have to work until Wed. See ya at the Delta!!

Thanks Z
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Postby Ken » Mon May 01, 2006 10:53 am

What do you think 3rd will bring us? Kiteable on a 12 ?
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3rd

Postby zgur » Mon May 01, 2006 12:22 pm

Don't have as much experience @ third..I'm better @ sherman/berkely and the promised land - coast.......

based on the NNW flow above and the N to S pressure gradient, I would say that it will be more like 14/16m weather, and light near shore.....

forecasting really is quite tough, since the data available is regional, and the climates that we have are micro-micro-micro based. Not to mention, to do a good job forecasting, you need to gather micro level data every hour....for example, land heating and the low it creates can sometimes suck the wind closer to shore then forecast (this happens on the coast with Monterey bay/Santa cruz getting hot, and the thermal low sucking the NW energy close to the coast). Bottom line, there are way more factors then one can really process.

I really respect Stu/Mike at ikite. Unlike the dudes on TV, these guys need to be a lot more accurate on a much more micro scale. When they are right, no one gives them credit. When they are wrong, people rip on them.

Here is my educated guess for 3rd:
20% chance of riding 12m kite (if this happens, it will come up late and quick)
65% chance of 14/16m kite
15% chance getting skunked with work/weather.

Good winds, Z.
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Postby charlie » Mon May 01, 2006 6:16 pm

thats it...
burn him at the stake.
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Postby OliverG » Mon May 01, 2006 6:25 pm

I know where he lives!
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Postby charlie » Mon May 01, 2006 6:47 pm

the rev says he can call berkely....?
dose he ...?
knows not what fate he casts.......
says i ...
Z you go boy .
i love the talk so far
give use more.
do you need your own corner ?take weather section..!
call it what....?
Dr Z weather.
Last edited by charlie on Mon May 01, 2006 7:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby OliverG » Mon May 01, 2006 7:21 pm

Z,

If you got the time, you'll have the forum!

Rev Z's Weather Corner
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Postby OliverG » Tue May 02, 2006 8:03 am

This looks good to me, let's hope it goes:

SAN FRANCISCO SAN PABLO SUISUN BAY AND THE WEST DELTA-
354 AM PDT TUE MAY 2 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 10 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 TO 30 KT.
.WED...W WINDS 15 TO 30 KT.

.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 TO 25 KT DECREASING TO 10 TO 20 KT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 5 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
PATCHY FOG.
.FRI AND SAT...W WINDS 5 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
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Postby Sander » Tue May 02, 2006 9:33 am

Let's hope the forecast validates!
3 days in a row of shutoff winds in Berkeley. At least I didn't get stuck with all the downwinder drifters on Sat, but I made up for it Sun. and yesterday.
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