Do you think it will blow this afternoon??

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Do you think it will blow this afternoon??

Postby dewey » Mon Mar 27, 2006 7:01 am

So two site say wind at Alameda this afternoon, but I want to hear from you guys that really know.



...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WINDS 5 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN DEVELOPING. .TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 TO 35 KT WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 45 KT. PERIODS OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE...S WINDS 15 TO 25 KT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.


or



Today: Mostly cloudy early then periods of showers this afternoon. High near 60F. Winds S at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 70%.

Tonight: Windy with heavy rain early, tapering to showers overnight. Low 52F. Winds S at 25 to 35 mph. Chance of rain 80%. Rainfall may reach one inch. Winds could occasionally gust over 50 mph.
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Postby charlie » Mon Mar 27, 2006 7:19 am

not that i know...but....

ya i think it will start in the afternoon....BuT
could be after sunset and....anther LoW tide at 2,





I hOpE iam wrong...and it starts at noon.
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Postby andyandmarlys » Mon Mar 27, 2006 8:00 am

My sources say it will be kitable this afternoon and small kite weather at 4:00pm.... which coincides with low tide.... just how I like it...

Forecast for: KOAK (OAKLAND, CA, US)
Text: KOAK 271127Z 271212 VRB03KT P6SM BKN200
Forecast period: 1200 to 1500 UTC 27 March 2006
Forecast type: FROM: standard forecast or significant change
Winds: variable direction winds at 3 MPH (3 knots; 1.6 m/s)
Visibility: 6 miles (10 km)
Ceiling: 20000 feet AGL
Clouds: broken clouds at 20000 feet AGL
Weather: no significant weather forecast for this period
Text: FM1500 16008KT P6SM SCT080 OVC200
Forecast period: 1500 to 2100 UTC 27 March 2006
Forecast type: FROM: standard forecast or significant change
Winds: from the SSE (160 degrees) at 9 MPH (8 knots; 4.2 m/s)
Visibility: 6 miles (10 km)
Ceiling: 20000 feet AGL
Clouds: scattered clouds at 8000 feet AGL
overcast cloud deck at 20000 feet AGL
Weather: no significant weather forecast for this period
Text: FM2100 18014KT P6SM SCT040 BKN080 OVC120
Forecast period: 2100 UTC 27 March 2006 to 0000 UTC 28 March 2006
Forecast type: FROM: standard forecast or significant change
Winds: from the S (180 degrees) at 16 MPH (14 knots; 7.3 m/s)
Visibility: 6 miles (10 km)
Ceiling: 8000 feet AGL
Clouds: scattered clouds at 4000 feet AGL
broken clouds at 8000 feet AGL
overcast cloud deck at 12000 feet AGL
Weather: no significant weather forecast for this period
Text: FM0000 16018G30KT 5SM RA OVC040
Forecast period: 0000 to 0900 UTC 28 March 2006
Forecast type: FROM: standard forecast or significant change
Winds: from the SSE (160 degrees) at 21 MPH (18 knots; 9.4 m/s)
gusting to 35 MPH (30 knots; 15.6 m/s)
Visibility: 5 miles (8 km)
Ceiling: 4000 feet AGL
Clouds: overcast cloud deck at 4000 feet AGL
Weather: RA (rain)
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Postby andyandmarlys » Mon Mar 27, 2006 8:02 am

This is the part that looks good .... from 4pm on....

Forecast period: 0000 to 0900 UTC 28 March 2006
Forecast type: FROM: standard forecast or significant change
Winds: from the SSE (160 degrees) at 21 MPH (18 knots; 9.4 m/s)
gusting to 35 MPH (30 knots; 15.6 m/s)
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Postby dewey » Mon Mar 27, 2006 8:14 am

I hope it's before 4. That's when I have to start home. I hope it blows earlier.
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Postby Pablito » Mon Mar 27, 2006 9:05 am

andyandmarlys wrote:This is the part that looks good .... from 4pm on....

Forecast period: 0000 to 0900 UTC 28 March 2006
Forecast type: FROM: standard forecast or significant change
Winds: from the SSE (160 degrees) at 21 MPH (18 knots; 9.4 m/s)
gusting to 35 MPH (30 knots; 15.6 m/s)


Umm, I hate to point this out, but this part of the forecast is from midnight (0000) until 9 am (0900) on Tuesday (March 28). Monday is March 27th.

The forecasts I've seen are all talking about wind and rain starting during the night. I'd say the chances are pretty slim for kiting before Tuesday.

Tuesday looks good, though.
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Postby andyandmarlys » Mon Mar 27, 2006 9:52 am

I didn't point this out this time... but the time (0000) until (0900) is actually in UTC time... That is, you need to subtract 8 hours to convert to Pacific time... So, 4:00pm is when it is forcast to be 21mph with gusts over 30.... There will be another update at 10am... I'll keep you posted
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Postby charlie » Mon Mar 27, 2006 12:41 pm

andy could you clean that up so we all can enjoy it...?
looks greek to me.
and 8 hrs from waht?
0900 or 0000? any way i dont get 4pm may be 4am
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Postby andyandmarlys » Mon Mar 27, 2006 12:55 pm

Sorry... 0000 is the same as 2400.... 2400 - 800 = 1600 which = 1600 military time which is 4:00pm.... I wish it were easier... but trust me.. it says it will be windy at 4pm today... The airport forecast is the most up to date and accurate forecast I have found for Alameda wind.... It is updated every 6 hours...
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Postby andyandmarlys » Mon Mar 27, 2006 12:57 pm

by the way, the updated forecast confirms that 4:00 will be windy... actually the wind should start earlier... but will really kick in around 4

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